Value bet: Torreense to win @ 1.92 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorreense to win ✗61% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Torreense vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:15 WAT, Monday 9 November: Torreense v União de Leiria in the Segunda Liga, played at Estadio Manuel Marques. In the table, Torreense are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; União de Leiria are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Torreense, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ararat-Armenia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
União de Leiria, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AVS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours União de Leiria, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Torreense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torreense 1.8 xG, União de Leiria 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torreense 61%, draw 18%, União de Leiria 21%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Torreense to win @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torreense 1–0 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torreense61%fair 1.63 · @1.92
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @3.58
União de Leiria21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
2.61Expected goals
1.75Torreense xG
0.86União de Leiria xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Torreense 1.8 – 0.9 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torreense to win✗
61%
1.63
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.60
Draw no bet
Torreense (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
União de Leiria +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Torreense to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Torreense ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torreense / FT Torreense✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Torreense – last 6
WDWLLL
5 Nov
vs Ararat-Armenia
3–2
W
31 Oct
@ Portimonense
0–0
D
26 Oct
vs Amarante
1–0
W
22 Oct
@ Ferencvarosi TC
1–4
L
15 Oct
vs Sunderland
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Tondela
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
União de Leiria – last 6
WDWLWD
31 Oct
vs AVS
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ FC Porto B
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Bragança
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Academica
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ O Elvas
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Amarante
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torreense and União de Leiria.
What is the prediction for Torreense vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Torreense vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers Torreense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and União de Leiria 21%.
How many goals will there be in Torreense vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torreense vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is Torreense 1–0 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Torreense vs União de Leiria?
Torreense vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Marques.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
