Atletico Torque vs Danubio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Danubio travel to face Atletico Torque on Friday 24 July in the Primera División Apertura, with Estadio Centenario the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Danubio are 14th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Torque, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Juventud, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Danubio, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club Nacional, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Danubio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.8 xG, Danubio 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 60%, draw 25%, Danubio 15%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Torque60%fair 1.67 · @1.71
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
Danubio15%fair 6.68 · @4.75
2.54Expected goals
1.78Atletico Torque xG
0.76Danubio xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.8 – 0.8 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+43%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.81
0.73
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✓
60%
1.67
1.71
Double chance
Atletico Torque or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Torque (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Torque -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Atletico Torque to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Atletico Torque ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Atletico Torque – last 6
WLWDWW
11 Jul
@ Juventud
3–1
W
6 Jun
vs Deportivo Maldonado
2–4
L
31 May
@ Albion FC
2–1
W
26 May
@ Gremio
2–2
D
23 May
@ Progreso
2–1
W
19 May
vs Deportivo Riestra
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 6
DDDLLD
11 Jul
vs Club Nacional
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Juventud
1–1
D
5 Jun
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
30 May
vs Progreso
1–2
L
18 May
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–3
L
26 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Danubio.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Danubio 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Atletico Torque vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
