Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRotor Volgograd to win ✓56% · @1.77
Double chanceRotor Volgograd or draw ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.08
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelyabinsk travel to face Rotor Volgograd on Sunday 9 August in the First League, with Volgograd Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Rotor Volgograd are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Chelyabinsk are 11th (lower half) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rotor Volgograd, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Veles, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Chelyabinsk, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Volga Ulyanovsk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rotor Volgograd, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Chelyabinsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotor Volgograd 1.7 xG, Chelyabinsk 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotor Volgograd 56%, draw 25%, Chelyabinsk 19%.
Lower-risk option: Rotor Volgograd or draw (81%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.08.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotor Volgograd56%fair 1.78 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Chelyabinsk19%fair 5.39 · @4.55
2.62Expected goals
1.70Rotor Volgograd xG
0.92Chelyabinsk xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.7 – 0.9 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rotor Volgograd
Chelyabinsk
Attack vs First League average
+4%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.75
0.99
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotor Volgograd to win✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Double chance
Rotor Volgograd or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
2.08 ▲
Draw no bet
Rotor Volgograd (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Chelyabinsk +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
1.01
First team to score
Rotor Volgograd to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
LWWLWW
3 Aug
@ Veles
1–2
L
27 Jul
@ KAMAZ
2–0
W
20 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–4
L
28 Jun
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
23 May
@ Akron
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 6
WLLWDL
2 Aug
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Nizhny Novgorod
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ Veles
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
4 Jul
@ Ural
1–1
D
8 May
@ Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotor Volgograd and Chelyabinsk.
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chelyabinsk 19%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
