Value bet: Leningradets to win @ 3.62 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArsenal Tula to win ✗45% · @2.03
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leningradets welcome Arsenal Tula to Rostec Arena for a First League fixture on Saturday 15 August (14:00 WAT). In the table, Leningradets are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 17 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leningradets, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Veles, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Arsenal Tula, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shinnik Yaroslavl, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arsenal Tula, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Leningradets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leningradets 1.1 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leningradets 32%, draw 23%, Arsenal Tula 45%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.89.
Price worth noting: Leningradets to win @3.62 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leningradets 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leningradets32%fair 3.08 · @3.62
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.22
Arsenal Tula45%fair 2.24 · @2.03
2.45Expected goals
1.10Leningradets xG
1.36Arsenal Tula xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Leningradets 1.1 – 1.4 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win✗
45%
2.24
2.03
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.89
Draw no bet
Arsenal Tula (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Leningradets +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.03
First team to score
Arsenal Tula to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Leningradets – last 6
LWDLLL
9 Aug
@ Veles
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs FC Sochi
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Ural
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ FC UFA
0–3
L
4 Jul
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 6
DWLLWD
8 Aug
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ FC Sochi
0–5
L
19 Jul
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Tekstilshchik
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leningradets and Arsenal Tula.
What is the prediction for Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers Leningradets have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal Tula 45%.
How many goals will there be in Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is Leningradets 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula?
Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
