FK Neftekhimik 42%Draw 25%Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%Expected goals 1.29 – 1.11
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗42% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shinnik Yaroslavl travel to face FK Neftekhimik on Friday 14 August in the First League, with Neftekhimik Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FK Neftekhimik are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 17 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Nizhny Novgorod, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Arsenal Tula, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 1.3 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 42%, draw 25%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.01.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.01 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Neftekhimik42%fair 2.38 · @2.58
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.88
Shinnik Yaroslavl33%fair 3.03 · @2.91
2.40Expected goals
1.29FK Neftekhimik xG
1.11Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.3 – 1.1 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win✗
42%
2.38
2.58 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.37
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.01 ▲
Draw no bet
FK Neftekhimik (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
FK Neftekhimik to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LWLWLW
8 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
1–5
L
1 Aug
vs Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–2
L
19 Jul
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Veles
0–1
L
1 Jul
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DLDWDD
8 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
2–2
D
2 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–3
L
26 Jul
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Leningradets
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs FC Sochi
2–2
D
30 Jun
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
