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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Kostroma v FC UFA: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Urozhay
1–1
FT

FC UFA

LDWDW
Spartak Kostroma 61%Draw 24%FC UFA 15% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.76
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.14 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.14
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Monday 17 August: Spartak Kostroma v FC UFA in the First League, played at Stadion Urozhay. In the table, Spartak Kostroma are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; FC UFA are 8th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Spartak Kostroma, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ska-khabarovsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

FC UFA, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ural, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Spartak Kostroma, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for FC UFA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.8 xG, FC UFA 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 61%, draw 24%, FC UFA 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.14.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.14 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 2–0 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Kostroma61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.60
FC UFA15%fair 6.51 · @5.45
2.53Expected goals
1.77Spartak Kostroma xG
0.76FC UFA xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.8 – 0.8 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗61%1.641.62
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.932.14 ▲
Draw no betSpartak Kostroma (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapSpartak Kostroma -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.03
First team to scoreSpartak Kostroma to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultSpartak Kostroma ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Spartak Kostroma – last 6

WDDWWL
9 Aug@ Ska-khabarovsk3–1W
1 Augvs Enisey2–2D
25 Jul@ Tekstilshchik0–0D
19 Jul@ FC Sochi2–0W
12 Julvs KAMAZ3–1W
3 Jul@ Lokomotiv0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC UFA – last 6

LDWDWL
8 Aug@ Ural0–3L
3 Augvs KAMAZ1–1D
26 Julvs Ska-khabarovsk1–0W
19 Jul@ Tekstilshchik2–2D
11 Julvs Leningradets3–0W
28 Jun@ Rotor Volgograd0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and FC UFA.

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC UFA 15%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 2–0 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.