Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1
Value bet: Spartak Kostroma to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUral to win ✓45% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.24
Spartak Kostroma vs Ural: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ural travel to face Spartak Kostroma on Saturday 26 September in the First League, with Stadion Urozhay the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Spartak Kostroma are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; Ural are 2nd (among the top four) with 34.
Current form
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Volga Ulyanovsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Ural, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FK Neftekhimik, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spartak Kostroma, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Ural.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.0 xG, Ural 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 32%, draw 23%, Ural 45%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Spartak Kostroma to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Ural. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Kostroma32%fair 3.14 · @3.45
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Ural45%fair 2.23 · @2.11
2.21Expected goals
0.98Spartak Kostroma xG
1.24Ural xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.0 – 1.2 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural to win✓
45%
2.23
2.11
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.93
Draw no bet
Ural (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Kostroma +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.02
First team to score
Ural to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ural / FT Ural✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.24
–
Recent results
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
WWWWWL
18 Sep
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
14 Sep
vs FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
8 Sep
@ Ryazan
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ural – last 6
WDLWDW
18 Sep
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs KAMAZ
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Arsenal Tula
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and Ural.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Ural?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Ural?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ural 45%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Ural?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs Ural?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs Ural?
Spartak Kostroma vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
