Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 1.69 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✗66% · @1.69
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Veles vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Veles v Nizhny Novgorod in the First League, played at Avangard Stadium. In the table, Veles are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Nizhny Novgorod are 1st (leading the league) with 46. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Veles, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ska-khabarovsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tekstilshchik, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nizhny Novgorod, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Veles.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Veles 0.8 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Veles 13%, draw 21%, Nizhny Novgorod 66%.
Lower-risk option: Nizhny Novgorod or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.89.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Veles 0–2 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Veles13%fair 7.63 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Nizhny Novgorod66%fair 1.52 · @1.69
2.94Expected goals
0.84Veles xG
2.10Nizhny Novgorod xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Veles 0.8 – 2.1 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✗
66%
1.52
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.89 ▲
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.04
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Veles – last 6
LWWLWW
15 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Leningradets
2–1
W
3 Aug
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Enisey
1–4
L
19 Jul
vs Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWWWWW
15 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs FK Neftekhimik
5–1
W
2 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
19 Jul
@ KAMAZ
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Rotor Volgograd
4–2
W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Veles vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Veles vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Veles have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nizhny Novgorod 66%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Veles 0–2 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Veles vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Veles vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
