Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.37Odds
1
Value bet: Leningradets to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeningradets to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Leningradets v Chelyabinsk in the First League, played at Rostec Arena. In the table, Leningradets are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 17 matches; Chelyabinsk are 11th (lower half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leningradets, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arsenal Tula, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Chelyabinsk, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Torpedo Moskva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leningradets 1.3 xG, Chelyabinsk 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leningradets 44%, draw 24%, Chelyabinsk 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.89.
Price worth noting: Leningradets to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leningradets 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leningradets44%fair 2.28 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.98
Chelyabinsk32%fair 3.15 · @2.84
2.42Expected goals
1.34Leningradets xG
1.09Chelyabinsk xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Leningradets 1.3 – 1.1 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leningradets to win✗
44%
2.28
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.89
Draw no bet
Leningradets (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Chelyabinsk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.03
First team to score
Leningradets to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leningradets / FT Leningradets✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Leningradets – last 6
DLWDLL
15 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Veles
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs FC Sochi
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Ural
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ FC UFA
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LLWLLW
15 Aug
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–4
L
9 Aug
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Nizhny Novgorod
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ Veles
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leningradets and Chelyabinsk.
What is the prediction for Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Leningradets have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelyabinsk 32%.
How many goals will there be in Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Leningradets 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
