Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 2.79 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓41% · @2.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Volga Ulyanovsk welcome Shinnik Yaroslavl to Trud Stadium for a First League fixture on Saturday 22 August (14:00 WAT). In the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 18 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Sochi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FK Neftekhimik, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shinnik Yaroslavl, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Volga Ulyanovsk.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Volga Ulyanovsk 0–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 37%, draw 23%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.81.
Price worth noting: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @2.79 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volga Ulyanovsk37%fair 2.73 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.30
Shinnik Yaroslavl41%fair 2.45 · @2.79
2.58Expected goals
1.24Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.33Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 – 1.3 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 41%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
