Value bet: Veles to win @ 3.05 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVeles to win ✓38% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Veles vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Veles welcome Arsenal Tula to Avangard Stadium for a First League fixture on Monday 24 August (17:30 WAT). In the table, Veles are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Veles, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nizhny Novgorod, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Arsenal Tula, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rotor Volgograd, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Veles, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Arsenal Tula.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Veles 1.3 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Veles 38%, draw 24%, Arsenal Tula 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Veles to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Veles 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Veles38%fair 2.60 · @3.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.05
Arsenal Tula37%fair 2.67 · @2.36
2.49Expected goals
1.26Veles xG
1.24Arsenal Tula xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Veles 1.3 – 1.2 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Veles to win✓
38%
2.60
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.90
Draw no bet
Veles (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal Tula +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Veles to score first✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Veles / FT Veles✓
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.39
–
Recent results
Veles – last 6
WLWWLW
19 Aug
vs Nizhny Novgorod
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Leningradets
2–1
W
3 Aug
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Enisey
1–4
L
19 Jul
vs Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 6
WDDWLL
20 Aug
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Leningradets
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ FC Sochi
0–5
L
19 Jul
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and Arsenal Tula.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Veles vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers Veles have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal Tula 37%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is Veles 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Veles vs Arsenal Tula?
Veles vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
