Arsenal Tula 27%Draw 23%Ural 49%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.38
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Ural to win @ 2.19 – our chance 49% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUral to win ✗49% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Arsenal Tula vs Ural: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the First League brings Arsenal Tula against Ural at Stadion Arsenal. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Ural are 2nd (among the top four) with 34. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal Tula, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Veles, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ural, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tekstilshchik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ural, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Arsenal Tula.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Ural 2–0 Arsenal Tula.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 0.9 xG, Ural 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 27%, draw 23%, Ural 49%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Ural to win @2.19 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Ural. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula27%fair 3.66 · @3.34
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.10
Ural49%fair 2.03 · @2.19
2.30Expected goals
0.93Arsenal Tula xG
1.38Ural xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 0.9 – 1.4 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ural 49%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
Arsenal Tula vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
