FK Neftekhimik 38%Draw 24%FC UFA 38%Expected goals 1.16 – 1.15
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: FC UFA to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗38% · @2.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.06
FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the First League brings FK Neftekhimik against FC UFA at Neftekhimik Stadium. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, FK Neftekhimik are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 17 matches; FC UFA are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rotor Volgograd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
FC UFA, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Enisey, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC UFA, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for FK Neftekhimik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 1.2 xG, FC UFA 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 38%, draw 24%, FC UFA 38%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.02.
Price worth noting: FC UFA to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Neftekhimik38%fair 2.64 · @2.53
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @2.97
FC UFA38%fair 2.66 · @2.88
2.30Expected goals
1.16FK Neftekhimik xG
1.15FC UFA xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.2 – 1.1 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win✗
38%
2.64
2.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.02
Draw no bet
FK Neftekhimik (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
FC UFA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
FK Neftekhimik to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.06
–
Recent results
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
WLLLWL
24 Aug
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
1–5
L
1 Aug
vs Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC UFA – last 6
WDLDWD
23 Aug
vs Enisey
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Ural
0–3
L
3 Aug
vs KAMAZ
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Tekstilshchik
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and FC UFA.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC UFA 38%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA?
FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
