Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.88 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✗64% · @1.45
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Nizhny Novgorod v Volga Ulyanovsk in the First League, played at Sovcombank Arena. In the table, Nizhny Novgorod are 1st, leading the league, on 46 points after 17 matches; Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th (upper half) with 22. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Ska-khabarovsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Shinnik Yaroslavl, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nizhny Novgorod, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Volga Ulyanovsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nizhny Novgorod 2.2 xG, Volga Ulyanovsk 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nizhny Novgorod 64%, draw 20%, Volga Ulyanovsk 16%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nizhny Novgorod64%fair 1.56 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.30
Volga Ulyanovsk16%fair 6.28 · @6.35
3.22Expected goals
2.20Nizhny Novgorod xG
1.02Volga Ulyanovsk xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.2 – 1.0 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.88 ▲
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.08
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WLWWWW
24 Aug
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–2
W
19 Aug
@ Veles
2–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs FK Neftekhimik
5–1
W
2 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LLWLWL
22 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ FC Sochi
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ KAMAZ
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Chelyabinsk
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
19 Jul
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Volga Ulyanovsk.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Volga Ulyanovsk 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
