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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Kostroma v Rotor Volgograd: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Urozhay
1–0
FT
Spartak Kostroma 39%Draw 24%Rotor Volgograd 36% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.20
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓39% · @2.49
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24

Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rotor Volgograd travel to face Spartak Kostroma on Monday 31 August in the First League, with Stadion Urozhay the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Spartak Kostroma are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; Rotor Volgograd are 10th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Spartak Kostroma, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Torpedo Moskva, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Rotor Volgograd, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FK Neftekhimik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.3 xG, Rotor Volgograd 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 39%, draw 24%, Rotor Volgograd 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Rotor Volgograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Kostroma39%fair 2.55 · @2.49
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.98
Rotor Volgograd36%fair 2.76 · @2.92
2.47Expected goals
1.27Spartak Kostroma xG
1.20Rotor Volgograd xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.3 – 1.2 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓39%2.552.49
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.852.10 ▲
Draw no betSpartak Kostroma (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapRotor Volgograd +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreSpartak Kostroma to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma ✗22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.24–

Recent results

Spartak Kostroma – last 6

LDWDDW
21 Aug@ Torpedo Moskva0–3L
17 Augvs FC UFA1–1D
9 Aug@ Ska-khabarovsk3–1W
1 Augvs Enisey2–2D
25 Jul@ Tekstilshchik0–0D
19 Jul@ FC Sochi2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rotor Volgograd – last 6

LLDWLW
24 Augvs FK Neftekhimik0–1L
20 Aug@ Arsenal Tula1–2L
14 Augvs Ural1–1D
9 Augvs Chelyabinsk4–1W
3 Aug@ Veles1–2L
27 Jul@ KAMAZ2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and Rotor Volgograd.

Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?

On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rotor Volgograd 36%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?

Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?

Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.