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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tekstilshchik v Torpedo Moskva: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Tekstilshchik
1–4
FT
Tekstilshchik 13%Draw 23%Torpedo Moskva 64% Expected goals 0.60 – 1.67
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tekstilshchik welcome Torpedo Moskva to Stadion Tekstilshchik for a First League fixture on Friday 4 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Tekstilshchik are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 17 matches; Torpedo Moskva are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tekstilshchik, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Veles, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ska-khabarovsk, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Tekstilshchik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tekstilshchik 0.6 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tekstilshchik 13%, draw 23%, Torpedo Moskva 64%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tekstilshchik 0–1 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tekstilshchik13%fair 7.41 · @6.05
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.72
Torpedo Moskva64%fair 1.57 · @1.55
2.27Expected goals
0.60Tekstilshchik xG
1.67Torpedo Moskva xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%

From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 0.6 – 1.7 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓64%1.571.55
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓87%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.15 ▲
Draw no betTorpedo Moskva (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapTorpedo Moskva -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.121.04
First team to scoreTorpedo Moskva to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✓39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Tekstilshchik – last 6

LLWLDL
29 Augvs Veles0–1L
22 Aug@ Ural0–2L
19 Aug@ KAMAZ1–0W
15 Augvs Nizhny Novgorod1–3L
8 Aug@ Enisey0–0D
1 Aug@ FK Neftekhimik0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

WWWLLD
30 Aug@ Ska-khabarovsk2–0W
21 Augvs Spartak Kostroma3–0W
15 Aug@ Chelyabinsk4–0W
8 Augvs FC Sochi1–2L
2 Aug@ Arsenal Tula0–1L
26 Julvs Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tekstilshchik and Torpedo Moskva.

Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?

On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torpedo Moskva 64%.

How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our predicted score is Tekstilshchik 0–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?

Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Tekstilshchik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.