Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.08 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗42% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the First League brings Torpedo Moskva against Nizhny Novgorod at Arena Khimki. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Nizhny Novgorod are 1st (leading the league) with 46. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Torpedo Moskva, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shinnik Yaroslavl, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dinamo Stavropol, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.6 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 42%, draw 23%, Nizhny Novgorod 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.81.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Moskva42%fair 2.41 · @2.33
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.24
Nizhny Novgorod36%fair 2.80 · @2.93
2.98Expected goals
1.55Torpedo Moskva xG
1.42Nizhny Novgorod xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.6 – 1.4 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✗
42%
2.41
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.81
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.04
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
LWWWWL
10 Sep
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Tekstilshchik
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–0
W
21 Aug
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Chelyabinsk
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWDWLW
9 Sep
@ Dinamo Stavropol
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
24 Aug
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–2
W
19 Aug
@ Veles
2–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nizhny Novgorod 36%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
