Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Sochi to win ✓62% · @1.56
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
FC Sochi vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: FC Sochi v FC UFA in the First League, played at Fisht Olympic Stadium. In the table, FC Sochi are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; FC UFA are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
FC Sochi, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ska-khabarovsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FC UFA, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Torpedo Moskva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours FC Sochi, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for FC UFA.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Sochi 1.9 xG, FC UFA 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Sochi 62%, draw 24%, FC UFA 14%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Sochi 2–0 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Sochi62%fair 1.62 · @1.56
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.70
FC UFA14%fair 6.94 · @5.70
2.66Expected goals
1.86FC Sochi xG
0.79FC UFA xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.9 – 0.8 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✓
62%
1.62
1.56
Double chance
FC Sochi or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Sochi (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
FC Sochi -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.84
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
FC Sochi to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
FC Sochi ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
FC Sochi – last 6
DWLLWW
18 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Veles
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Nizhny Novgorod
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC UFA – last 6
DLDLDW
27 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Chelyabinsk
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Kaluga
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and FC UFA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win FC Sochi vs FC UFA?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC UFA 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs FC UFA?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs FC UFA?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 2–0 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs FC UFA?
FC Sochi vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
