FK Neftekhimik 47%Draw 23%Leningradets 30%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.02
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗47% · @2.03
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Neftekhimik welcome Leningradets to Neftekhimik Stadium for a First League fixture on Sunday 25 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, FK Neftekhimik are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 17 matches; Leningradets are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to KAMAZ, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Leningradets, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spartak Kostroma, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leningradets, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for FK Neftekhimik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 1.4 xG, Leningradets 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 47%, draw 23%, Leningradets 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.94.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Leningradets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Neftekhimik47%fair 2.14 · @2.03
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
Leningradets30%fair 3.29 · @3.55
2.38Expected goals
1.36FK Neftekhimik xG
1.02Leningradets xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.4 – 1.0 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win✗
47%
2.14
2.03
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.94 ▲
Draw no bet
FK Neftekhimik (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Leningradets +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.03
First team to score
FK Neftekhimik to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LLLLDW
17 Oct
@ KAMAZ
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Chelyabinsk
2–4
L
18 Sep
vs Ural
0–1
L
14 Sep
@ Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Enisey
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leningradets – last 6
LWLWLD
17 Oct
@ Spartak Kostroma
0–2
L
14 Oct
vs Luki-Energiya
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
17 Sep
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–6
L
13 Sep
vs Tekstilshchik
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Leningradets.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leningradets 30%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
