Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Spartak Kostroma to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.08
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Kostroma travel to face Shinnik Yaroslavl on Monday 26 October in the First League, with Shinnik the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Veles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Leningradets, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spartak Kostroma, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.1 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 38%, draw 25%, Spartak Kostroma 37%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.99.
Price worth noting: Spartak Kostroma to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl38%fair 2.61 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.89
Spartak Kostroma37%fair 2.71 · @2.88
2.27Expected goals
1.15Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
1.12Spartak Kostroma xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.1 – 1.1 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Kostroma 37%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Shinnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
