Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: Torpedo Moskva v Rotor Volgograd in the First League, played at Arena Khimki. In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Rotor Volgograd are 10th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Torpedo Moskva, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Enisey, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Rotor Volgograd, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Sochi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Rotor Volgograd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.7 xG, Rotor Volgograd 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 59%, draw 21%, Rotor Volgograd 21%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Rotor Volgograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Moskva59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.35
Rotor Volgograd21%fair 4.84 · @4.05
2.55Expected goals
1.69Torpedo Moskva xG
0.86Rotor Volgograd xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.7 – 0.9 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Rotor Volgograd +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.02
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
WWWDDL
17 Oct
@ Enisey
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Leningradets
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Torpedo Zhodino
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ FC UFA
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Nizhny Novgorod
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
LDWWLD
16 Oct
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
17 Sep
@ Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Enisey
4–0
W
9 Sep
@ Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Rotor Volgograd.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rotor Volgograd 21%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
