Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 3.12 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✗38% · @3.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.46
Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the First League brings Chelyabinsk against Shinnik Yaroslavl at Central Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Chelyabinsk are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Chelyabinsk, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ural, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Spartak Kostroma, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.2 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 38%, draw 24%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @3.12 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelyabinsk38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.02
Shinnik Yaroslavl38%fair 2.63 · @3.12
2.50Expected goals
1.25Chelyabinsk xG
1.25Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.2 – 1.3 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win✗
38%
2.63
3.12 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Shinnik Yaroslavl (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Chelyabinsk +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.01
First team to score
Shinnik Yaroslavl to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.46
–
Recent results
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LLLWDW
25 Oct
vs Ural
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Tekstilshchik
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
9 Oct
@ FK Neftekhimik
4–2
W
26 Sep
vs Enisey
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs FC UFA
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
WDLWDL
26 Oct
vs Spartak Kostroma
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Veles
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 38%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
