Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the First League brings Nizhny Novgorod against Arsenal Tula at Sovcombank Arena. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Nizhny Novgorod are 1st, leading the league, on 46 points after 17 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC UFA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Arsenal Tula, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over KAMAZ, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nizhny Novgorod, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Arsenal Tula.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nizhny Novgorod 2.3 xG, Arsenal Tula 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nizhny Novgorod 68%, draw 21%, Arsenal Tula 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.87.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nizhny Novgorod68%fair 1.46 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.30
Arsenal Tula10%fair 9.59 · @6.30
3.20Expected goals
2.33Nizhny Novgorod xG
0.86Arsenal Tula xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.3 – 0.9 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.87
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.11
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWWWWW
24 Oct
@ FC UFA
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Ural
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
4–0
W
10 Oct
vs Enisey
5–0
W
17 Sep
vs Leningradets
6–0
W
13 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 6
WLWLLD
24 Oct
vs KAMAZ
4–3
W
17 Oct
@ FC UFA
0–2
L
9 Oct
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Enisey
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Arsenal Tula.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arsenal Tula 10%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
