Value bet: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVeles to win ✗40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.23
Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Volga Ulyanovsk travel to face Veles on Sunday 4 October in the First League, with Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo) the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Veles are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Veles, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Torpedo Moskva, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leningradets, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Veles 1.3 xG, Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Veles 40%, draw 23%, Volga Ulyanovsk 38%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Veles 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Veles40%fair 2.51 · @2.33
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.24
Volga Ulyanovsk38%fair 2.67 · @2.88
2.51Expected goals
1.28Veles xG
1.23Volga Ulyanovsk xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Veles 1.3 – 1.2 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Veles to win✗
40%
2.51
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Veles (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Volga Ulyanovsk +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Veles to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Veles / FT Veles✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Veles – last 6
DLLDWW
17 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
9 Sep
@ Murom
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LLDDWD
26 Sep
vs Leningradets
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ FC UFA
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Arsenal Tula
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and Volga Ulyanovsk.
What is the prediction for Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers Veles have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Volga Ulyanovsk 38%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is Veles 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
