Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNæsby to win ✓59% · @1.62
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.51
Næsby vs Sundby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Næsby welcome Sundby to ALPI Arena Naesby for a 3. Division fixture on Saturday 1 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Næsby are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Sundby are 9th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Næsby, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Middelfart, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sundby, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fremad Amager, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Næsby, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Sundby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Næsby 2.3 xG, Sundby 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Næsby 59%, draw 21%, Sundby 20%.
Lower-risk option: Næsby or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Næsby 2–1 Sundby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Næsby59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.10
Sundby20%fair 4.98 · @4.00
3.53Expected goals
2.26Næsby xG
1.26Sundby xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Næsby 2.3 – 1.3 Sundby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Næsby
Sundby
Attack vs 3. Division average
+25%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+4%
Our expected goals here
2.37
1.31
Our own ratings from every 3. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Næsby to win✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Double chance
Næsby or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Næsby (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Sundby +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
Næsby to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Næsby ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Næsby / FT Næsby✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Næsby – last 6
LWWLWW
25 Jul
vs Middelfart
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Hørsholm-Usserød
4–2
W
6 Jun
vs FA 2000
1–0
W
31 May
@ Nykobing FC
2–3
L
25 May
@ Vanløse
2–0
W
9 May
vs Hørsholm-Usserød
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sundby – last 6
LLDLDD
21 Jul
@ Fremad Amager
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs Nykobing FC
1–3
L
13 Jun
@ Frem
0–0
D
4 Jun
vs Holbæk B&I
1–5
L
30 May
vs Odder
3–3
D
23 May
@ Lyseng
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Næsby and Sundby.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Næsby vs Sundby?
On our numbers Næsby have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sundby 20%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Sundby?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Sundby?
Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Sundby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Næsby vs Sundby?
Næsby vs Sundby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
