Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Holbæk B&I to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Holbæk B&I vs Næsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the 3. Division brings Holbæk B&I against Næsby. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Holbæk B&I are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Næsby are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Holbæk B&I, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Brønshøj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Næsby, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Munkebo, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Holbæk B&I 1–2 Næsby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holbæk B&I 2.2 xG, Næsby 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holbæk B&I 62%, draw 16%, Næsby 22%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Holbæk B&I to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holbæk B&I 2–1 Næsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holbæk B&I62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @3.60
Næsby22%fair 4.48 · @3.20
3.38Expected goals
2.18Holbæk B&I xG
1.20Næsby xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Holbæk B&I 2.2 – 1.2 Næsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
On our numbers Holbæk B&I have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Næsby 22%.
How many goals will there be in Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
Our predicted score is Holbæk B&I 2–1 Næsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
Holbæk B&I vs Næsby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
