Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNæsby to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Næsby v Hørsholm-Usserød in the 3. Division, played at ALPI Arena Naesby. In the table, Næsby are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Hørsholm-Usserød are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Næsby, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Holbæk B&I, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hørsholm-Usserød, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Brønshøj, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Hørsholm-Usserød 2–4 Næsby. The last 3 head-to-heads: Næsby 3 wins, Hørsholm-Usserød 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Næsby 2.3 xG, Hørsholm-Usserød 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Næsby 62%, draw 20%, Hørsholm-Usserød 18%.
Lower-risk option: Næsby or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Næsby62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
Hørsholm-Usserød18%fair 5.71 · @4.10
3.41Expected goals
2.27Næsby xG
1.14Hørsholm-Usserød xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Næsby 2.3 – 1.1 Hørsholm-Usserød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
On our numbers Næsby have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hørsholm-Usserød 18%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
