Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Holstebro to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHolstebro to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Sundby vs Holstebro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the 3. Division brings Sundby against Holstebro. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sundby are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Holstebro are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sundby, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Helsingor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Holstebro, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Frem, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Holstebro, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sundby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sundby 1.7 xG, Holstebro 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sundby 34%, draw 22%, Holstebro 44%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Holstebro to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sundby 1–1 Holstebro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sundby34%fair 2.92 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Holstebro44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
3.71Expected goals
1.73Sundby xG
1.98Holstebro xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Sundby 1.7 – 2.0 Holstebro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holstebro to win✗
44%
2.27
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.50
1.44
Draw no bet
Holstebro (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Sundby +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
First team to score
Holstebro to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Holstebro ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holstebro / FT Holstebro✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Sundby – last 6
LLWLDD
13 Sep
@ FC Helsingor
1–2
L
10 Sep
vs FC Midtjylland
0–7
L
5 Sep
vs ASA Aarhus
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Ringsted
0–2
L
25 Aug
@ Frederikssund
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Hørsholm-Usserød
4–4
D
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Holstebro – last 6
WLLWWD
13 Sep
vs Frem
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs Vanløse
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ ASA Aarhus
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs FC Helsingor
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Ringsted
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Holbæk B&I
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sundby and Holstebro.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sundby vs Holstebro?
On our numbers Sundby have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Holstebro 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sundby vs Holstebro?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sundby vs Holstebro?
Our predicted score is Sundby 1–1 Holstebro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Sundby vs Holstebro?
Sundby vs Holstebro (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
