Holstebro v Brønshøj: numbers & prediction

Holstebro vs Brønshøj: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the 3. Division brings Holstebro against Brønshøj. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Holstebro are 11th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 15 matches; Brønshøj are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Holstebro, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Næsby, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Brønshøj, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Frem, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Brønshøj, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Holstebro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Holstebro 1.0 xG, Brønshøj 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Holstebro 13%, draw 23%, Brønshøj 64%.
• Lower-risk option: Brønshøj or draw (87%) at 1.20.
• GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
• Price worth noting: Brønshøj to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Brønshøj or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holstebro 1–2 Brønshøj. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.