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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Næsby v Holbæk B&I: numbers & prediction

3. Division · Denmark · ALPI Arena Naesby

Næsby

DLWWD
1–2
FT
Næsby 38%Draw 21%Holbæk B&I 41% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.87
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.48

Næsby vs Holbæk B&I: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Holbæk B&I travel to face Næsby on Saturday 24 October in the 3. Division, with ALPI Arena Naesby the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Næsby are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Holbæk B&I are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.

Current form

Næsby, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vanløse, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Holbæk B&I, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Holstebro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Holbæk B&I 3–2 Næsby. The last 2 head-to-heads: Næsby 1 win, Holbæk B&I 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Næsby 1.8 xG, Holbæk B&I 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Næsby 38%, draw 21%, Holbæk B&I 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Næsby 1–1 Holbæk B&I. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Næsby38%fair 2.61 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Holbæk B&I41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
3.67Expected goals
1.80Næsby xG
1.87Holbæk B&I xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: Næsby 1.8 – 1.9 Holbæk B&I expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHolbæk B&I to win ✓41%2.442.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.40
Draw no betHolbæk B&I (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapNæsby +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
First team to scoreHolbæk B&I to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Holbæk B&I / FT Holbæk B&I ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.48–

Recent results

Næsby – last 6

DLWWDL
17 Octvs Vanløse2–2D
10 Oct@ Frem0–2L
3 Octvs Holstebro4–0W
26 Sep@ Ringsted2–1W
19 Sepvs FC Helsingor1–1D
16 Sepvs AC Horsens2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Holbæk B&I – last 6

WDWLWL
17 Octvs Holstebro4–0W
10 Oct@ Vanløse0–0D
3 Octvs ASA Aarhus2–1W
25 Sep@ FC Helsingor1–5L
18 Sepvs Ringsted5–2W
13 Sep@ Hørsholm-Usserød1–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Holbæk B&I v Næsby3–2
7 Mar 2026Holbæk B&I v Næsby1–2
Næsby vs Holbæk B&I head-to-head page →

3. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brønshøj15942+1331
2Holbæk B&I15924+1129
3Vanløse15762+827
4Hørsholm-Usserød15744+925
5FC Helsingor15744+525
6Næsby15636+621
7Frem15465+218
8Ishøj15537-718
9Sundby15528-117
10ASA Aarhus15528-717
11Holstebro15519-1816
12Ringsted151311-216

More 3. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?

On our numbers Næsby have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Holbæk B&I 41%.

How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?

Our predicted score is Næsby 1–1 Holbæk B&I, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?

Næsby vs Holbæk B&I (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.