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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Næsby v ASA Aarhus: numbers & prediction

3. Division · Denmark · ALPI Arena Naesby

Næsby

LLDLW
5–1
FT
Næsby 64%Draw 22%ASA Aarhus 14% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.93
64%
Betarazi pick

Næsby to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultNæsby to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Næsby vs ASA Aarhus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Næsby welcome ASA Aarhus to ALPI Arena Naesby for a 3. Division fixture on Saturday 7 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Næsby are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; ASA Aarhus are 10th (in the drop zone) with 17.

Current form

Næsby, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brønshøj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

ASA Aarhus, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Frem, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Næsby, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for ASA Aarhus.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended ASA Aarhus 1–0 Næsby.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Næsby 2.2 xG, ASA Aarhus 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Næsby 64%, draw 22%, ASA Aarhus 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Næsby or draw (86%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.52.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Næsby to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Næsby 2–0 ASA Aarhus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Næsby64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.92
ASA Aarhus14%fair 7.26 · @4.05
3.10Expected goals
2.17Næsby xG
0.93ASA Aarhus xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Næsby 2.2 – 0.9 ASA Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNæsby to win ✓64%1.551.62
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✓86%1.161.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.52
Draw no betNæsby (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapNæsby -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.54
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.19
First team to scoreNæsby to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultNæsby ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Næsby / FT Næsby ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Næsby – last 6

LLDLWW
31 Oct@ Brønshøj1–2L
24 Octvs Holbæk B&I1–2L
17 Octvs Vanløse2–2D
10 Oct@ Frem0–2L
3 Octvs Holstebro4–0W
26 Sep@ Ringsted2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

ASA Aarhus – last 6

DLLLLW
31 Octvs Frem2–2D
24 Oct@ Vanløse0–1L
17 Octvs Sundby1–2L
10 Oct@ FC Helsingor1–2L
3 Oct@ Holbæk B&I1–2L
26 Sepvs Hørsholm-Usserød2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026ASA Aarhus v Næsby1–0
Næsby vs ASA Aarhus head-to-head page →

3. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brønshøj15942+1331
2Holbæk B&I15924+1129
3Vanløse15762+827
4Hørsholm-Usserød15744+925
5FC Helsingor15744+525
6Næsby15636+621
7Frem15465+218
8Ishøj15537-718
9Sundby15528-117
10ASA Aarhus15528-717
11Holstebro15519-1816
12Ringsted151311-216

More 3. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?

Our pick is Næsby to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?

On our numbers Næsby have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ASA Aarhus 14%.

How many goals will there be in Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?

Our predicted score is Næsby 2–0 ASA Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?

Næsby vs ASA Aarhus (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.