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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vrchovina v Karviná II: numbers & prediction

3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadium Nove Mesto
1–0
FT
Vrchovina 55%Draw 24%Karviná II 20% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.04
80%
Betarazi pick

Vrchovina or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Vrchovina to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVrchovina to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceVrchovina or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Vrchovina vs Karviná II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the 3. Liga MSFL brings Vrchovina against Karviná II at Stadium Nove Mesto. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Vrchovina are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Karviná II are 8th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Vrchovina, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vítkovice, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Karviná II, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Polanka nad Odrou, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Karviná II 2–3 Vrchovina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vrchovina 1.8 xG, Karviná II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vrchovina 55%, draw 24%, Karviná II 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vrchovina or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Vrchovina to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vrchovina or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vrchovina 1–1 Karviná II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vrchovina55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.25
Karviná II20%fair 4.91 · @3.30
2.88Expected goals
1.84Vrchovina xG
1.04Karviná II xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%

From our goals model: Vrchovina 1.8 – 1.0 Karviná II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVrchovina to win ✓55%1.811.95 ▲
Double chanceVrchovina or draw ✓80%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.60
Draw no betVrchovina (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapKarviná II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreVrchovina to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultVrchovina ahead at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vrchovina / FT Vrchovina ✓35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Vrchovina – last 6

WWLDLL
22 Aug@ Vítkovice1–0W
15 Augvs Zlín II1–0W
7 Aug@ Líšeň II0–3L
1 Augvs Blansko2–2D
25 Jul@ Sparta Brno0–1L
11 Jul@ Vysočina Jihlava0–8L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Karviná II – last 6

WDWLLL
23 Augvs Polanka nad Odrou2–1W
16 Aug@ Havířov2–2D
9 Augvs Uherský Brod2–0W
2 Aug@ Uničov2–3L
25 Jul@ Tatran Krásno1–2L
11 Jul@ Žilina II0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Karviná II v Vrchovina2–3
Vrchovina vs Karviná II head-to-head page →

3. Liga MSFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Frýdek-Místek161033+1533
2Uničov161033+1233
3Sigma Olomouc II161015+1731
4Líšeň II16862+1330
5Zbrojovka Brno II16934+930
6Hodonín16727+723
7Unie Hlubina16655+323
8Karviná II16727+323
9Vítkovice16655+323
10Hranice16727-223
11Slovácko II16646+622
12Uherský Brod16637-121
13Zlín II16547-619
14Blansko16457-1117
15Vrchovina16529-1717
16Havířov16268-1212
17Polanka nad Odrou163310-1512
18Vsetín163112-2410

More 3. Liga MSFL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vrchovina vs Karviná II?

Our pick is Vrchovina or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vrchovina vs Karviná II?

On our numbers Vrchovina have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Karviná II 20%.

How many goals will there be in Vrchovina vs Karviná II?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vrchovina vs Karviná II?

Our predicted score is Vrchovina 1–1 Karviná II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Vrchovina vs Karviná II?

Vrchovina vs Karviná II (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Nove Mesto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.