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Frýdek-Místek v Vrchovina: numbers & prediction

3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadion Stovky
4–2
FT
Frýdek-Místek 61%Draw 21%Vrchovina 18% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.78
61%
Betarazi pick

Frýdek-Místek to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultFrýdek-Místek to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceFrýdek-Místek or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09

Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Frýdek-Místek welcome Vrchovina to Stadion Stovky for a 3. Liga MSFL fixture on Saturday 3 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Frýdek-Místek are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 16 matches; Vrchovina are 15th (lower half) with 17. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Frýdek-Místek, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Polanka nad Odrou, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Vrchovina, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Unie Hlubina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Frýdek-Místek, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Vrchovina.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Frýdek-Místek 1–1 Vrchovina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Frýdek-Místek 1.7 xG, Vrchovina 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Frýdek-Místek 61%, draw 21%, Vrchovina 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Frýdek-Místek or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Frýdek-Místek to win (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Frýdek-Místek 1–0 Vrchovina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Frýdek-Místek61%fair 1.63 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Vrchovina18%fair 5.50 · @4.80
2.50Expected goals
1.72Frýdek-Místek xG
0.78Vrchovina xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Frýdek-Místek 1.7 – 0.8 Vrchovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFrýdek-Místek to win ✓61%1.631.50
Double chanceFrýdek-Místek or draw ✓82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.981.85
Draw no betFrýdek-Místek (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapVrchovina +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreFrýdek-Místek to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Frýdek-Místek / FT Frýdek-Místek ✓37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.09–

Recent results

Frýdek-Místek – last 6

LDWDWW
27 Sep@ Polanka nad Odrou0–1L
19 Sepvs Havířov0–0D
12 Sep@ Uherský Brod3–1W
5 Sepvs Uničov1–1D
2 Sep@ Karviná II3–0W
28 Augvs Sigma Olomouc II1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vrchovina – last 6

WDLLLW
26 Sepvs Unie Hlubina3–2W
19 Sep@ Vsetín2–2D
12 Sepvs Zbrojovka Brno II0–3L
5 Sep@ Hranice0–1L
2 Sep@ Slovácko II1–3L
29 Augvs Karviná II1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Frýdek-Místek v Vrchovina1–1
Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina head-to-head page →

3. Liga MSFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Frýdek-Místek161033+1533
2Uničov161033+1233
3Sigma Olomouc II161015+1731
4Líšeň II16862+1330
5Zbrojovka Brno II16934+930
6Hodonín16727+723
7Unie Hlubina16655+323
8Karviná II16727+323
9Vítkovice16655+323
10Hranice16727-223
11Slovácko II16646+622
12Uherský Brod16637-121
13Zlín II16547-619
14Blansko16457-1117
15Vrchovina16529-1717
16Havířov16268-1212
17Polanka nad Odrou163310-1512
18Vsetín163112-2410

More 3. Liga MSFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?

Our pick is Frýdek-Místek to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?

On our numbers Frýdek-Místek have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vrchovina 18%.

How many goals will there be in Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?

Our predicted score is Frýdek-Místek 1–0 Vrchovina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?

Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Stovky.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.