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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hodonín v Frýdek-Místek: numbers & prediction

3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadion U Cervenych domku
3–0
FT
Hodonín 40%Draw 20%Frýdek-Místek 40% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.38
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultFrýdek-Místek to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 35.99

Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Frýdek-Místek travel to face Hodonín on Saturday 10 October in the 3. Liga MSFL, with Stadion U Cervenych domku the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Hodonín are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Frýdek-Místek are 1st (leading the league) with 33.

Current form

Hodonín, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Unie Hlubina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Frýdek-Místek, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Vrchovina, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Frýdek-Místek 1–1 Hodonín.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hodonín 1.4 xG, Frýdek-Místek 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hodonín 40%, draw 20%, Frýdek-Místek 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hodonín 1–2 Frýdek-Místek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hodonín40%fair 2.50 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
Frýdek-Místek40%fair 2.50 · @2.55
2.76Expected goals
1.38Hodonín xG
1.38Frýdek-Místek xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%

From our goals model: Hodonín 1.4 – 1.4 Frýdek-Místek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFrýdek-Místek to win ✗40%2.502.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.98–
Draw no betFrýdek-Místek (draw no bet) ✗50%2.00–
Asian handicapHodonín +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreFrýdek-Místek to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Frýdek-Místek / FT Frýdek-Místek ✗22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3%35.99–

Recent results

Hodonín – last 6

WWWLLW
3 Oct@ Unie Hlubina4–1W
26 Sepvs Vsetín2–0W
20 Sep@ Zbrojovka Brno II1–0W
12 Sepvs Hranice0–1L
6 Sep@ Karviná II0–1L
2 Sepvs Sigma Olomouc II2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Frýdek-Místek – last 6

WLDWDW
3 Octvs Vrchovina4–2W
27 Sep@ Polanka nad Odrou0–1L
19 Sepvs Havířov0–0D
12 Sep@ Uherský Brod3–1W
5 Sepvs Uničov1–1D
2 Sep@ Karviná II3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 May 2026Frýdek-Místek v Hodonín1–1
Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek head-to-head page →

3. Liga MSFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Frýdek-Místek161033+1533
2Uničov161033+1233
3Sigma Olomouc II161015+1731
4Líšeň II16862+1330
5Zbrojovka Brno II16934+930
6Hodonín16727+723
7Unie Hlubina16655+323
8Karviná II16727+323
9Vítkovice16655+323
10Hranice16727-223
11Slovácko II16646+622
12Uherský Brod16637-121
13Zlín II16547-619
14Blansko16457-1117
15Vrchovina16529-1717
16Havířov16268-1212
17Polanka nad Odrou163310-1512
18Vsetín163112-2410

More 3. Liga MSFL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?

On our numbers Hodonín have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Frýdek-Místek 40%.

How many goals will there be in Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?

Our predicted score is Hodonín 1–2 Frýdek-Místek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?

Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion U Cervenych domku.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.