Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFrance to win ✓56% · @1.54
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
France vs Morocco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 9 July the World Cup brings France against Morocco at Gillette Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Current form
France, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Paraguay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Morocco, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Canada, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours France, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Morocco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give France 1.7 xG, Morocco 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – France 56%, draw 24%, Morocco 20%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: France 1–1 Morocco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
France56%fair 1.78 · @1.54
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.80
Morocco20%fair 5.03 · @6.25
2.80Expected goals
1.72France xG
1.07Morocco xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: France 1.7 – 1.1 Morocco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✓
56%
1.78
1.54
Double chance
France or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
France (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Morocco +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
France to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
France – last 6
WWWWWW
4 Jul
@ Paraguay
1–0
W
30 Jun
vs Sweden
3–0
W
26 Jun
@ Norway
4–1
W
22 Jun
vs Iraq
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Senegal
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Northern Ireland
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Morocco – last 6
WDWWDD
4 Jul
@ Canada
3–0
W
30 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–1
D
24 Jun
vs Haiti
4–2
W
19 Jun
@ Scotland
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Brazil
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Norway
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between France and Morocco.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win France vs Morocco?
On our numbers France have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Morocco 20%.
How many goals will there be in France vs Morocco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs Morocco?
Our predicted score is France 1–1 Morocco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is France vs Morocco?
France vs Morocco (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
