Cumnock Juniors 56%Draw 20%Troon FC 24%Expected goals 2.25 – 1.42
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Cumnock Juniors to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCumnock Juniors to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Troon FC travel to face Cumnock Juniors on Wednesday 23 September in the Football League Lowland League – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cumnock Juniors are 15th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Troon FC are 17th (upper half) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cumnock Juniors, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Beith, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Troon FC, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Johnstone Burgh, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cumnock Juniors 2.2 xG, Troon FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cumnock Juniors 56%, draw 20%, Troon FC 24%.
Price worth noting: Cumnock Juniors to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cumnock Juniors 2–1 Troon FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cumnock Juniors56%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.90
Troon FC24%fair 4.18 · @2.88
3.66Expected goals
2.25Cumnock Juniors xG
1.42Troon FC xG
54%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Cumnock Juniors 2.2 – 1.4 Troon FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cumnock Juniors to win✓
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Cumnock Juniors (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Troon FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Cumnock Juniors to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Cumnock Juniors ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cumnock Juniors / FT Cumnock Juniors✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Cumnock Juniors – last 6
WWWLDL
16 Sep
vs Beith
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Dalbeattie Star
6–1
W
29 Aug
vs Newton Stewart
5–0
W
21 Aug
@ Celtic II
1–4
L
18 Aug
vs Largs Thistle
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Caledonian Braves
3–6
L
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Troon FC – last 6
LWLWWL
16 Sep
vs Johnstone Burgh
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Newton Stewart
5–1
W
29 Aug
vs Cumbernauld Colts
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Beith
3–1
W
19 Aug
vs Renfrew
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Clydebank
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cumnock Juniors and Troon FC.
What is the prediction for Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
On our numbers Cumnock Juniors have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Troon FC 24%.
How many goals will there be in Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
Our predicted score is Cumnock Juniors 2–1 Troon FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC (Football League Lowland League) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
