Value bet: Hluk to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHluk to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Hluk vs Holešov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 18 September: Hluk v Holešov in the 4. Liga Divizie E. In the table, Hluk are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Holešov are 9th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hluk, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Brumov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Holešov, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Břeclav, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Hluk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Holešov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hluk 2.2 xG, Holešov 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hluk 56%, draw 16%, Holešov 28%.
Price worth noting: Hluk to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hluk 2–1 Holešov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hluk56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.36 · @4.20
Holešov28%fair 3.54 · @2.80
3.71Expected goals
2.21Hluk xG
1.50Holešov xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Hluk 2.2 – 1.5 Holešov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hluk to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Hluk (draw no bet)
66%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Holešov +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
First team to score
Hluk to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Hluk ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hluk / FT Hluk✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Hluk – last 6
WWDWDL
12 Sep
@ Brumov
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Baťov
6–0
W
29 Aug
@ Prostejov B
3–3
D
21 Aug
vs Kroměříž II
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Šternberk
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Strání
1–3
L
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Holešov – last 6
LLDWDW
12 Sep
vs Břeclav
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ SK Krumvir
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Brumov
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Baťov
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Prostejov B
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Kroměříž II
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hluk and Holešov.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Hluk vs Holešov?
On our numbers Hluk have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Holešov 28%.
How many goals will there be in Hluk vs Holešov?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hluk vs Holešov?
Our predicted score is Hluk 2–1 Holešov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Hluk vs Holešov?
Hluk vs Holešov (4. Liga Divizie E) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
