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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pustá Polom v Šumperk: numbers & prediction

4. Liga Divizie F · Czech-Republic
2–2
FT
Pustá Polom 40%Draw 19%Šumperk 41% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.62
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Pustá Polom to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultŠumperk to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Pustá Polom vs Šumperk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Šumperk travel to face Pustá Polom on Sunday 11 October in the 4. Liga Divizie F – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Pustá Polom are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Šumperk are 13th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Pustá Polom, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kravare, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Šumperk, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bílovec, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Pustá Polom 0–0 Šumperk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pustá Polom 1.6 xG, Šumperk 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pustá Polom 40%, draw 19%, Šumperk 41%.
  • Price worth noting: Pustá Polom to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pustá Polom 1–2 Šumperk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pustá Polom40%fair 2.50 · @2.88
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
Šumperk41%fair 2.46 · @2.00
3.22Expected goals
1.60Pustá Polom xG
1.62Šumperk xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Pustá Polom 1.6 – 1.6 Šumperk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultŠumperk to win ✗41%2.462.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betŠumperk (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapPustá Polom +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreŠumperk to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Šumperk / FT Šumperk ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.94–

Recent results

Pustá Polom – last 6

LWLLWL
4 Oct@ Kravare1–2L
27 Sepvs Nový Jičín3–2W
18 Sep@ Hlučín1–4L
13 Sep@ Bílovec0–1L
6 Sepvs Břidličná1–0W
30 Aug@ Bospor Bohumín1–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Šumperk – last 6

DLLLLW
4 Octvs Bílovec1–1D
27 Sep@ Břidličná1–2L
20 Sepvs Bospor Bohumín1–3L
13 Sep@ Zabreh0–1L
5 Sepvs Opava II1–2L
29 Aug@ Frýdlant5–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Pustá Polom v Šumperk0–0
Pustá Polom vs Šumperk head-to-head page →

4. Liga Divizie F table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bospor Bohumín141202+3336
2Kravare141031+1733
3Vratimov141004+830
4Hlučín14824+1026
5Zabreh14635-121
6Valašské Meziříčí14554+520
7Stonava14626-120
8Opava II14617019
9Jiskra Rýmařov14536+618
10Pustá Polom14536-318
11Frydek-Mistek B14527-317
12Nový Jičín14446-516
13Šumperk14356-314
14Břidličná14419-813
15Bílovec14347-1513
16Frýdlant141013-403

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?

On our numbers Pustá Polom have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Šumperk 41%.

How many goals will there be in Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?

Our predicted score is Pustá Polom 1–2 Šumperk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?

Pustá Polom vs Šumperk (4. Liga Divizie F) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.