Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Picks by market
ResultHoek to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 16.61
Barendrecht vs Hoek: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barendrecht welcome Hoek to Sports Centre de Bongerd for a Tweede Divisie fixture on Saturday 12 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Barendrecht are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Hoek are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Barendrecht, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Spakenburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Hoek, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to RKAV Volendam, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barendrecht, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Hoek.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barendrecht 1.1 xG, Hoek 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barendrecht 23%, draw 15%, Hoek 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hoek to win (61%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barendrecht 1–2 Hoek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barendrecht23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @3.90
Hoek61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
3.11Expected goals
1.10Barendrecht xG
2.01Hoek xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Barendrecht 1.1 – 2.0 Hoek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hoek to win✗
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Hoek (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Barendrecht +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Hoek to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Hoek ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hoek / FT Hoek✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
6%
16.61
–
Recent results
Barendrecht – last 6
WLWLLW
5 Sep
@ Spakenburg
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Katwijk
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Koninklijke HFC
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs HHC
1–3
L
23 May
vs Excelsior Maassluis
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs AFC Amsterdam
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hoek – last 6
LLDWLD
5 Sep
@ RKAV Volendam
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Spakenburg
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Katwijk
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Koninklijke HFC
3–1
W
15 Jul
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
23 May
@ De Treffers
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barendrecht and Hoek.
Our pick is Hoek to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Barendrecht vs Hoek?
On our numbers Barendrecht have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Hoek 61%.
How many goals will there be in Barendrecht vs Hoek?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barendrecht vs Hoek?
Our predicted score is Barendrecht 1–2 Hoek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Barendrecht vs Hoek?
Barendrecht vs Hoek (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Centre de Bongerd.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.