Hoek 62%Draw 18%Almere City II 20%Expected goals 2.06 – 1.04
62%
Betarazi pick
Hoek to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultHoek to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Hoek vs Almere City II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Hoek v Almere City II in the Tweede Divisie, played at Sportpark Denoek. In the table, Hoek are 16th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Almere City II are 13th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hoek, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barendrecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Almere City II, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Spakenburg, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hoek 2.1 xG, Almere City II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hoek 62%, draw 18%, Almere City II 20%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hoek to win (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hoek 2–1 Almere City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hoek62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.70
Almere City II20%fair 5.09 · @3.50
3.10Expected goals
2.06Hoek xG
1.04Almere City II xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hoek 2.1 – 1.0 Almere City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hoek to win✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.44
Draw no bet
Hoek (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Hoek -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Hoek to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Hoek ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hoek / FT Hoek✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Hoek – last 6
DLLDWL
12 Sep
@ Barendrecht
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ RKAV Volendam
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Spakenburg
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Katwijk
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Koninklijke HFC
3–1
W
15 Jul
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Almere City II – last 6
LLLLWW
12 Sep
vs Spakenburg
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Katwijk
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Koninklijke HFC
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ HHC
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rijnsburgse Boys
4–0
W
23 May
vs GVVV Veenendaal
5–4
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hoek and Almere City II.
What is the prediction for Hoek vs Almere City II?
Our pick is Hoek to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hoek vs Almere City II?
On our numbers Hoek have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Almere City II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Hoek vs Almere City II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hoek vs Almere City II?
Our predicted score is Hoek 2–1 Almere City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hoek vs Almere City II?
Hoek vs Almere City II (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Denoek.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
