AFC Amsterdam 37%Draw 20%Katwijk 43%Expected goals 1.51 – 1.66
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultKatwijk to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:15 WAT, Saturday 26 September: AFC Amsterdam v Katwijk in the Tweede Divisie, played at Sportpark Goed Genoeg. In the table, AFC Amsterdam are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Katwijk are 12th (lower half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AFC Amsterdam, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Groene Ster, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Katwijk, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to De Treffers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Amsterdam, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Katwijk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Amsterdam 1.5 xG, Katwijk 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Amsterdam 37%, draw 20%, Katwijk 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Amsterdam 1–2 Katwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Amsterdam37%fair 2.70 · @2.80
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75
Katwijk43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
3.18Expected goals
1.51AFC Amsterdam xG
1.66Katwijk xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: AFC Amsterdam 1.5 – 1.7 Katwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Katwijk to win✓
43%
2.30
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Katwijk (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
AFC Amsterdam +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
First team to score
Katwijk to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Katwijk / FT Katwijk✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
AFC Amsterdam – last 6
WWDLWW
22 Sep
@ Groene Ster
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Koninklijke HFC
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs HHC
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Rijnsburgse Boys
0–3
L
1 Sep
@ Be Quick 1887
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs ROHDA Raalte
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Katwijk – last 6
LDWDWD
19 Sep
vs De Treffers
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sparta Rotterdam II
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Almere City II
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ TOGB
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Barendrecht
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Hoek
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Amsterdam and Katwijk.
What is the prediction for AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?
On our numbers AFC Amsterdam have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Katwijk 43%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?
Our predicted score is AFC Amsterdam 1–2 Katwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk?
AFC Amsterdam vs Katwijk (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.