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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spakenburg v AFC Amsterdam: numbers & prediction

Tweede Divisie · Netherlands · Sportpark De Westmaat
2–1
FT
Spakenburg 61%Draw 19%AFC Amsterdam 20% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.04
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpakenburg to win ✓61% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05

Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Amsterdam travel to face Spakenburg on Saturday 3 October in the Tweede Divisie, with Sportpark De Westmaat the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Spakenburg are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; AFC Amsterdam are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Spakenburg, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to De Treffers, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

AFC Amsterdam, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Katwijk, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spakenburg 2.0 xG, AFC Amsterdam 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spakenburg 61%, draw 19%, AFC Amsterdam 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spakenburg 2–1 AFC Amsterdam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spakenburg61%fair 1.64 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.00
AFC Amsterdam20%fair 5.05 · @4.00
3.07Expected goals
2.03Spakenburg xG
1.04AFC Amsterdam xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Spakenburg 2.0 – 1.0 AFC Amsterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpakenburg to win ✓61%1.641.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.50
Draw no betSpakenburg (draw no bet) ✓75%1.32–
Asian handicapSpakenburg -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreSpakenburg to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultSpakenburg ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spakenburg / FT Spakenburg ✓38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.05–

Recent results

Spakenburg – last 6

LDDWLW
26 Sep@ De Treffers0–5L
22 Sep@ RKAV Volendam2–2D
19 Sepvs Sparta Rotterdam II1–1D
12 Sep@ Almere City II3–0W
5 Sepvs Barendrecht1–3L
29 Aug@ Hoek2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Amsterdam – last 6

LWWDLW
26 Sepvs Katwijk0–1L
22 Sep@ Groene Ster6–1W
19 Sep@ Koninklijke HFC3–1W
12 Sepvs HHC2–2D
5 Sep@ Rijnsburgse Boys0–3L
1 Sep@ Be Quick 18872–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spakenburg and AFC Amsterdam.

Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam head-to-head page →

Tweede Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys121011+2531
2Ijsselmeervogels12813+925
3Kozakken Boys12732+1624
4HHC12732+724
5De Treffers12642+1422
6GVVV Veenendaal12705+621
7RKAV Volendam12633+321
8Barendrecht12624+220
9Spakenburg12525-117
10Sparta Rotterdam II12354+414
11AFC Amsterdam12426-414
12Katwijk12426-914
13Almere City II12417-313
14Rijnsburgse Boys12417-1213
15Koninklijke HFC12336-512
16Hoek12246-910
17Kloetinge12147-167
18ROHDA Raalte120111-271

More Tweede Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?

On our numbers Spakenburg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AFC Amsterdam 20%.

How many goals will there be in Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?

Our predicted score is Spakenburg 2–1 AFC Amsterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?

Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Westmaat.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.