AFC Amsterdam 35%Draw 20%Hoek 46%Expected goals 1.42 – 1.67
59%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultHoek to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Tweede Divisie brings AFC Amsterdam against Hoek at Sportpark Goed Genoeg. Kick-off: 14:15 WAT. In the table, AFC Amsterdam are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Hoek are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
AFC Amsterdam, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spakenburg, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Hoek, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over De Treffers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Amsterdam 1.4 xG, Hoek 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Amsterdam 35%, draw 20%, Hoek 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Amsterdam 1–2 Hoek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Amsterdam35%fair 2.88 · @2.70
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70
Hoek46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
3.09Expected goals
1.42AFC Amsterdam xG
1.67Hoek xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Amsterdam 1.4 – 1.7 Hoek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hoek to win✗
46%
2.19
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Hoek (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
AFC Amsterdam +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Hoek to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hoek / FT Hoek✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
AFC Amsterdam – last 6
LLWWDL
3 Oct
@ Spakenburg
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Katwijk
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Groene Ster
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Koninklijke HFC
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs HHC
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Rijnsburgse Boys
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hoek – last 6
WLDDLL
3 Oct
vs De Treffers
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Sparta Rotterdam II
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Almere City II
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Barendrecht
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ RKAV Volendam
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Spakenburg
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Amsterdam and Hoek.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?
On our numbers AFC Amsterdam have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hoek 46%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?
Our predicted score is AFC Amsterdam 1–2 Hoek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?
AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
