Value bet: Draw @ 4.00 – our chance 48% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +92%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗48% · @4.00
Double chanceMargate or draw ✗75% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7% · fair 14.03
Ascot United vs Margate: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ascot United welcome Margate for a FA Trophy fixture on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ascot United 1.8 xG, Margate 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ascot United 25%, draw 48%, Margate 27%.
Lower-risk option: Margate or draw (75%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Draw @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Margate or draw (75%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ascot United 1–1 Margate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ascot United25%fair 3.98 · @2.40
Draw48%fair 2.08 · @4.00
Margate27%fair 3.73 · @2.25
3.55Expected goals
1.75Ascot United xG
1.79Margate xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Ascot United 1.8 – 1.8 Margate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
48%
2.08
4.00 ▲
Double chance
Margate or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Margate (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Ascot United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
First team to score
Margate to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Margate / FT Margate✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
7%
14.03
–
Recent results
Ascot United – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Westfield (Surrey)
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Margate – last 2
WL
18 Jul
@ Chatham Town
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Dover
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascot United and Margate.
What is the prediction for Ascot United vs Margate?
Our pick is Margate or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ascot United vs Margate?
On our numbers Ascot United have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 48% and Margate 27%.
How many goals will there be in Ascot United vs Margate?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascot United vs Margate?
Our predicted score is Ascot United 1–1 Margate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Ascot United vs Margate?
Ascot United vs Margate (FA Trophy) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
