Stocksbridge Park Steels v Runcorn Linnets Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗50% · @3.60

Double chanceStocksbridge Park Steels or draw ✗76% · @1.44

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 16.01

Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Stocksbridge Park Steels v Runcorn Linnets in the FA Trophy.

Current form

Stocksbridge Park Steels, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leek Town, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Runcorn Linnets, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leek Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stocksbridge Park Steels 1.5 xG, Runcorn Linnets 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Stocksbridge Park Steels 27%, draw 50%, Runcorn Linnets 24%.
Lower-risk option: Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw (76%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw (76%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stocksbridge Park Steels 1–1 Runcorn Linnets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stocksbridge Park Steels27%fair 3.77 · @2.30

Draw50%fair 2.01 · @3.60

Runcorn Linnets24%fair 4.22 · @2.55

2.98Expected goals

1.52Stocksbridge Park Steels xG

1.46Runcorn Linnets xG

50%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–28%

1–08%

0–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Stocksbridge Park Steels 1.5 – 1.5 Runcorn Linnets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	50%	2.01	3.60 ▲
Double chance	Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw ✗	76%	1.31	1.44 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	1.98	–
Draw no bet	Stocksbridge Park Steels (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Runcorn Linnets +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.75	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
First team to score	Stocksbridge Park Steels to score first	48%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.51	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Stocksbridge Park Steels / FT Stocksbridge Park Steels ✗	23%	4.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–2 ✗	6%	16.01	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Draw ✗

50%

2.01

3.60 ▲

Double chance

Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw ✗

76%

1.31

1.44 ▲

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

50%

1.98

–

Draw no bet

Stocksbridge Park Steels (draw no bet) ✗

53%

1.89

–

Asian handicap

Runcorn Linnets +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

61%

1.65

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

57%

1.75

1.65

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

65%

1.53

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

82%

1.22

–

First team to score

Stocksbridge Park Steels to score first

48%

2.06

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

40%

2.51

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Stocksbridge Park Steels / FT Stocksbridge Park Steels ✗

23%

4.32

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–2 ✗

16.01

–

6 Apr	vs Leek Town	0–2	L
2 Apr	@ Cleethorpes Town	1–2	L
3 Mar	@ Hebburn Town	0–3	L
21 Feb	vs Prescot Cables	2–1	W

31 Jul	@ Leek Town	1–1	D
11 Jul	vs United of Manchester	0–4	L
6 Apr	vs Bootle	1–1	D

Stocksbridge Park Steels v Runcorn Linnets: numbers & prediction