RWDM v Tubize Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRWDM to win ✓45% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.43

RWDM vs Tubize: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: RWDM v Tubize in the First Amateur Division, played at Edmond Machtens Stadium. In the table, RWDM are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Tubize are 4th (among the top four) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

RWDM, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Union Saint-Gilloise II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Tubize, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Habay-la-Neuve, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RWDM 1.4 xG, Tubize 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – RWDM 45%, draw 23%, Tubize 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Tubize to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: RWDM 1–1 Tubize. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RWDM45%fair 2.24 · @2.00

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.10

Tubize32%fair 3.08 · @3.30

2.50Expected goals

1.38RWDM xG

1.12Tubize xG

59%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–19%

2–19%

0–08%

2–08%

From our goals model: RWDM 1.4 – 1.1 Tubize expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	RWDM to win ✓	45%	2.24	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.62
Draw no bet	RWDM (draw no bet) ✓	58%	1.73	–
Asian handicap	Tubize +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	RWDM to score first ✓	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT RWDM / FT RWDM ✓	25%	4.00	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	11.43	–

RWDM – last 6

LDWWWW

3 Oct	@ Union Saint-Gilloise II	2–4	L
30 Sep	vs Rochefort	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Meux	1–0	W
12 Sep	vs Sporting Charleroi II	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Onhaye	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Flénu	3–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Tubize – last 6

WDWDLW

3 Oct	vs Habay-la-Neuve	1–0	W
26 Sep	vs Union Saint-Gilloise II	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Olympic Charleroi	3–1	W
12 Sep	@ Albert Quévy-Mons	2–2	D
5 Sep	vs Rochefort	1–4	L
30 Aug	@ Standard Liège II	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Meux	12	8	1	3	+9	25
2	Rochefort	12	6	4	2	+12	22
3	Union Saint-Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	+7	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Albert Quévy-Mons	12	6	2	4	+8	20
6	RWDM	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Olympic Charleroi	12	4	4	4	-8	16
8	Standard Liège II	12	4	2	6	+2	14
9	Sporting Charleroi II	12	3	5	4	-1	14
10	Habay-la-Neuve	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Onhaye	11	3	1	7	-10	10
12	Flénu	12	0	2	10	-22	2

Team

Pts

Meux

Rochefort

+12

Union Saint-Gilloise II

-8

Sporting Charleroi II

-1

Habay-la-Neuve

-4

Onhaye

-10

Flénu

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RWDM vs Tubize?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win RWDM vs Tubize?

On our numbers RWDM have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tubize 32%.

How many goals will there be in RWDM vs Tubize?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RWDM vs Tubize?

Our predicted score is RWDM 1–1 Tubize, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is RWDM vs Tubize?

RWDM vs Tubize (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Edmond Machtens Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

RWDM v Tubize: numbers & prediction