Union Saint-Gilloise II v Sporting Charleroi II Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUnion Saint-Gilloise II to win ✓61% · @1.75

Double chanceUnion Saint-Gilloise II or draw ✓81% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Charleroi II travel to face Union Saint-Gilloise II on Saturday 17 October in the First Amateur Division – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Union Saint-Gilloise II are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Sporting Charleroi II are 9th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Union Saint-Gilloise II, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Flénu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Sporting Charleroi II, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olympic Charleroi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Union Saint-Gilloise II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Sporting Charleroi II.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Sporting Charleroi II 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.8 xG, Sporting Charleroi II 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Union Saint-Gilloise II 61%, draw 20%, Sporting Charleroi II 19%.
Lower-risk option: Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Union Saint-Gilloise II to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–0 Sporting Charleroi II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Saint-Gilloise II61%fair 1.65 · @1.75

Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.30

Sporting Charleroi II19%fair 5.26 · @3.90

2.63Expected goals

1.78Union Saint-Gilloise II xG

0.85Sporting Charleroi II xG

56%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

2–011%

1–111%

2–110%

0–07%

3–07%

From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.8 – 0.9 Sporting Charleroi II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Union Saint-Gilloise II to win ✓	61%	1.65	1.75 ▲
Double chance	Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.57
Draw no bet	Union Saint-Gilloise II (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Sporting Charleroi II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Union Saint-Gilloise II to score first ✓	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Union Saint-Gilloise II ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Union Saint-Gilloise II / FT Union Saint-Gilloise II ✗	37%	2.70	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.30	–

Union Saint-Gilloise II – last 6

WWDWDW

11 Oct	@ Flénu	5–2	W
3 Oct	vs RWDM	4–2	W
26 Sep	@ Tubize	1–1	D
19 Sep	vs Standard Liège II	1–0	W
12 Sep	@ Olympic Charleroi	1–1	D
5 Sep	vs Habay-la-Neuve	2–0	W

2.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sporting Charleroi II – last 6

DWDDLD

10 Oct	vs Olympic Charleroi	1–1	D
4 Oct	@ Onhaye	4–2	W
30 Sep	vs Habay-la-Neuve	0–0	D
19 Sep	@ Rochefort	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ RWDM	0–1	L
6 Sep	vs Flénu	2–2	D

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Meux	12	8	1	3	+9	25
2	Rochefort	12	6	4	2	+12	22
3	Union Saint-Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	+7	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Albert Quévy-Mons	12	6	2	4	+8	20
6	RWDM	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Olympic Charleroi	12	4	4	4	-8	16
8	Standard Liège II	12	4	2	6	+2	14
9	Sporting Charleroi II	12	3	5	4	-1	14
10	Habay-la-Neuve	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Onhaye	11	3	1	7	-10	10
12	Flénu	12	0	2	10	-22	2

Team

Pts

Meux

Rochefort

+12

Union Saint-Gilloise II

-8

Sporting Charleroi II

-1

Habay-la-Neuve

-4

Onhaye

-10

Flénu

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?

Our pick is Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?

On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sporting Charleroi II 19%.

How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?

Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–0 Sporting Charleroi II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?

Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Union Saint-Gilloise II v Sporting Charleroi II: numbers & prediction