Tienen 44%Draw 21%Merelbeke 36%Expected goals 1.85 – 1.65
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultTienen to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Tienen vs Merelbeke: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Tienen v Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division.
Current form
Tienen, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cercle Brugge II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Merelbeke, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dessel Sport, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Tienen 2–0 Merelbeke.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tienen 1.8 xG, Merelbeke 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tienen 44%, draw 21%, Merelbeke 36%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tienen 1–1 Merelbeke. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tienen44%fair 2.30 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Merelbeke36%fair 2.82 · @2.70
3.50Expected goals
1.85Tienen xG
1.65Merelbeke xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Tienen 1.8 – 1.7 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Tienen vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Tienen have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Merelbeke 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tienen vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tienen vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Tienen 1–1 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tienen vs Merelbeke?
Tienen vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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