Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Tienen to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpouwen-Mopertingen to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tienen travel to face Spouwen-Mopertingen on Sunday 11 October in the First Amateur Division – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Spouwen-Mopertingen, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mandel United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Tienen, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Merelbeke, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Spouwen-Mopertingen 0–2 Tienen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spouwen-Mopertingen 1.7 xG, Tienen 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spouwen-Mopertingen 40%, draw 23%, Tienen 38%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Tienen to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spouwen-Mopertingen 1–1 Tienen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spouwen-Mopertingen40%fair 2.52 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Tienen38%fair 2.66 · @3.10
3.33Expected goals
1.69Spouwen-Mopertingen xG
1.64Tienen xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Spouwen-Mopertingen 1.7 – 1.6 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
On our numbers Spouwen-Mopertingen have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tienen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
Our predicted score is Spouwen-Mopertingen 1–1 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.