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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spouwen-Mopertingen v Tienen: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT

Tienen

DWDWL
Spouwen-Mopertingen 40%Draw 23%Tienen 38% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.64
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Tienen to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpouwen-Mopertingen to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92

Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tienen travel to face Spouwen-Mopertingen on Sunday 11 October in the First Amateur Division – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Spouwen-Mopertingen, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mandel United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Tienen, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Merelbeke, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Spouwen-Mopertingen 0–2 Tienen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spouwen-Mopertingen 1.7 xG, Tienen 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spouwen-Mopertingen 40%, draw 23%, Tienen 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Tienen to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spouwen-Mopertingen 1–1 Tienen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spouwen-Mopertingen40%fair 2.52 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Tienen38%fair 2.66 · @3.10
3.33Expected goals
1.69Spouwen-Mopertingen xG
1.64Tienen xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Spouwen-Mopertingen 1.7 – 1.6 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpouwen-Mopertingen to win ✗40%2.522.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.57
Draw no betSpouwen-Mopertingen (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapTienen +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scoreSpouwen-Mopertingen to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spouwen-Mopertingen / FT Spouwen-Mopertingen ✗24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.92–

Recent results

Spouwen-Mopertingen – last 6

LWLWLD
3 Oct@ Mandel United0–1L
30 Sepvs Heist3–1W
20 Sep@ Knokke2–3L
13 Sepvs Merelbeke1–0W
6 Sepvs Houtvenne3–4L
30 Aug@ Roeselare Daisel1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tienen – last 6

DWDWLL
4 Octvs Merelbeke0–0D
27 Sep@ Cercle Brugge II3–1W
20 Sepvs Roeselare Daisel1–1D
13 Sep@ Harelbeke4–0W
6 Sep@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II1–2L
30 Augvs Dessel Sport3–4L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Spouwen-Mopertingen v Tienen0–2
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?

On our numbers Spouwen-Mopertingen have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tienen 38%.

How many goals will there be in Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?

Our predicted score is Spouwen-Mopertingen 1–1 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?

Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.