Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeist to win ✓56% · @1.75
Double chanceHeist or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Heist vs Tienen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heist welcome Tienen to Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum for a First Amateur Division fixture on Wednesday 21 October (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Heist, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Antwerp, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Tienen, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Spouwen-Mopertingen, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tienen, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Heist.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heist 2.0 xG, Tienen 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heist 56%, draw 23%, Tienen 21%.
Lower-risk option: Heist or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heist or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heist 2–1 Tienen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heist56%fair 1.78 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Tienen21%fair 4.72 · @3.90
3.21Expected goals
2.03Heist xG
1.18Tienen xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Heist 2.0 – 1.2 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heist to win✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Double chance
Heist or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Heist (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Tienen +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Heist to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Heist ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heist / FT Heist✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Heist – last 6
LDWLDL
17 Oct
vs Antwerp
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
30 Sep
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Kortrijk
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tienen – last 6
DDWDWL
11 Oct
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Merelbeke
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Roeselare Daisel
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Harelbeke
4–0
W
6 Sep
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heist and Tienen.
Our pick is Heist or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Heist vs Tienen?
On our numbers Heist have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tienen 21%.
How many goals will there be in Heist vs Tienen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heist vs Tienen?
Our predicted score is Heist 2–1 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Heist vs Tienen?
Heist vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Albert Quévy-Mons2
Rochefort0